Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.010608 0.012836 0.015633 0.019489 0.024813 0.032142 0.043462
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.008309 0.010986 0.014829 0.021071 0.031687 0.050752 0.093202
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.007135 0.010002 0.014512 0.022778 0.039437 0.077714 0.206856
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.006095 0.008873 0.013518 0.022785 0.044017 0.104152 0.418966
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.005301 0.007936 0.012550 0.022388 0.047467 0.133606 0.889180
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004549 0.006926 0.011203 0.020709 0.046686 0.148922 1.579931
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004026 0.006226 0.010290 0.019689 0.047218 0.172577 3.566932
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003692 0.005811 0.009843 0.019610 0.050711 0.222202 18.866372
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003470 0.005565 0.009683 0.020185 0.057048 0.317767 NaN
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003242 0.005276 0.009378 0.020284 0.061863 0.435131 NaN
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002975 0.004882 0.008784 0.019415 0.062006 0.509961 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002777 0.004602 0.008401 0.019058 0.064440 0.655391 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002668 0.004511 0.008483 0.020319 0.077942 1.396955 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002582 0.004457 0.008652 0.022012 0.098197 4.623800 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002504 0.004407 0.008819 0.023829 0.125250 41.415114 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002357 0.004192 0.008530 0.023836 0.138237 1281.392138 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002211 0.003964 0.008166 0.023413 0.146918 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002032 0.003646 0.007522 0.021627 0.136934 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001895 0.003410 0.007071 0.020544 0.134478 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001805 0.003272 0.006866 0.020461 0.145486 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001744 0.003195 0.006819 0.021071 0.169741 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001674 0.003089 0.006673 0.021177 0.188051 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001580 0.002922 0.006334 0.020254 0.185045 NaN NaN